Published: October 9, 2026 · 3:15 PM Israel time
️ Other polls and weekly comparison: Separately, a Zman Yisrael poll gives Eisenkot 24 seats and Netanyahu’s bloc 51, with Winter crossing the threshold. An Israel Hayom poll places the two blocs at 51 each, with Likud down one seat from its previous poll and Winter below the threshold.
An i24 poll gives Netanyahu’s bloc 60 seats. Likud and Yashar each drop two seats, leaving their gap unchanged. Winter enters the Knesset, while Yaron Zelekha remains below the threshold. Dates for these additional poll accounts are unspecified.
A weekly comparison lists the following paired figures without explicitly labeling the bloc order:
Israel Hayom: 51–51; Channel 12: 54–49; Channel 13: 50–55; Channel 14: 45–63; Channel 15: 48–60; Channel 16: 51–52; Zman Yisrael: 55–51.
The comparison excludes Channel 11’s poll because its pollster conducted a more recent survey for Israel Hayom.
️ Cross-pollster analysis finds no synchronized electoral shift: Recent Netanyahu-bloc projections range from Channel 12’s 49 seats on October 5 and Kan’s 51 on October 4 to News 13’s 55 on October 7, i24 / Direct Polls’ 60 on October 1 and Channel 14’s 63 on October 7.
The comparative polling analysis argues that this 14-seat range reinforces substantial methodological differences between pollsters and is too large to interpret as genuine short-term voter movement.
Eisenkot’s trajectory is also mixed: he falls to 20 in News 13 but rises to 23 in Channel 14, matching his recent Channel 12 and Kan levels. The analysis argues that this weakens the case for a consistent nationwide decline.
It identifies Eisenkot losing his lead over Likud in News 13 while recovering two seats in Channel 14 as the most consequential new development, rather than convincing evidence of a synchronized electoral shift.
Winter’s threshold uncertainty remains the principal potential disruptor identified in the analysis, while Hendel–Zelekha remain outside the Knesset in both new surveys. It finds no new cross-pollster consensus or fundamentally new path to 61: Netanyahu remains ahead in News 13’s bloc calculation and retains a majority in Channel 14’s model, while disagreement between pollsters remains substantial.
️ Shas criticizes protest organizers and draft arrests: Shas claims: “The people behind the funding of today’s protests are activists from the Kaplan protest movement, who have been joined by extremist elements leading violent and life-threatening demonstrations. These actions do not represent the ultra-Orthodox community.”
Shas also accuses the authorities over the resumption of arrests of draft evaders, calling it “blatant and unprecedented interference by the judicial system and elements within the Military Police in the election campaign.”
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