Published: October 28, 2026 · 9:00 AM Israel time
️ Latest count leaves both main blocs short of a majority: With 51.8% of votes counted, the October 28 results update at 7:49 a.m. put Netanyahu’s bloc at 55 seats, the Change Bloc at 49, the Joint List at 12 and Ra’am at four. The figures remain provisional after substantial overnight shifts in exit polls and partial counts.
The reported party standings were: Likud 27; Yashar 21; Joint List 12; Beyachad (Together) 11; The Democrats and United Torah Judaism nine each; Yisrael Beiteinu eight; Shas seven; Otzma Yehudit and Religious Zionism–Zehut six each; and Ra’am four.
Ra’am stood at 3.5% of the vote. The Reservists and Economic Party, at 2.64%, and Amcha Yisrael, at 1.65%, remained below the electoral threshold.
Exit polls and partial counts shifted overnight: At 2 a.m., an exit poll update projected 52 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc, 50 for Eisenkot’s bloc and 18 for Arab parties. A revision changed that to 53–49–18. A separate Channel 14 exit poll update put Netanyahu’s bloc at 60 seats after Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu crossed the threshold. These were separate projections, distinct from the developing count.
At 3:30 a.m., an estimate based on 72% of the count in Rehovot, described in the update as generally reflecting the Jewish electorate, adjusted for Arab voters and projected 55 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc. Its stated breakdown gave the Change Bloc 49 seats and Arab parties 16, but its accompanying party figures instead totaled 47 and 18, respectively.
By 5 a.m., approximately 1.6 million votes, reported as 28% of the total, had been counted. Likud was projected at 30 seats, with Netanyahu’s bloc leading Eisenkot’s by 13 seats. At 5:15 a.m., with 31% counted, the reported division was 59 seats for Netanyahu’s bloc, 46 for the Change Bloc and 15 for Arab parties. Netanyahu’s bloc subsequently fell to 57 seats with 37% counted.
At 7:19 a.m., with 48.4% counted, the coalition stood at 55 seats and the Change Bloc at 50. At 7:34 a.m., with 50.1% counted, they stood at 56 and 49. The 7:49 a.m. update returned the coalition to 55, as the Joint List gained a seat and Otzma Yehudit lost one.
️ Coalition prospects remain unresolved: Analysis accompanying the overnight updates attributed Netanyahu’s early advantage partly to counting concentrated in right-wing areas. It anticipated that further counting would improve the Arab parties’ position and potentially the Change Bloc’s. It assessed the Change Bloc’s prospects of forming a stable government as slim, while finding no clear path for Netanyahu either. These assessments remain provisional.
Lieberman refused to rule out a government with Ra’am and demanded Netanyahu’s resignation. Bennett did not address that issue. One account reported that Eisenkot delivered a victory speech as exit poll projections were being revised; a separate account said Change Bloc leaders did not speak that evening.
️ IDF reports approximately 80% soldier turnout: Final turnout among soldiers reached 79.9%, approximately 80%, according to the IDF, which reported an increase of 6.2% compared with the 2022 election.
Conscripts, career soldiers and reservists began voting a week earlier at more than 890 military polling stations across Israel and beyond its borders, including posts in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria.
Full updates & discussion: https://israelrealtime.com/?p=218205914
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